União São João vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
17%
21%
62%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
UNI
13%
17%
70%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAO
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
UNI
15%
20%
65%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ECN
3 - 0
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
ECN
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 3
ECN
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ECN
0 - 1
GDS
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 1
ECN
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |