União São João vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
UNI
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
LEM
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GDS
2 - 1
UNI
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
GDS
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
SER
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
BER
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
POR
27%
26%
48%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
BER
61%
22%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
69%
21%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |