União Madeira vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 4
FCP
12%
21%
68%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
VST
2 - 2
UNM
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 3
UNM
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 1
SPB
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
UNM
56%
26%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TON
0 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
68%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 1
TON
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
TON
0 - 4
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 1
TON
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GFC
2 - 1
TON
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |