União Madeira vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
UNM
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 1
BRA
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SCF
0 - 1
UNM
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SCF
0 - 1
UNM
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
UNM
2 - 0
FAF
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
ACA
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
POR
3 - 2
PEN
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 3
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
FEI
2 - 1
PEN
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |