União Madeira vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
UNM
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UNM
0 - 0
BRA
62%
22%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNM
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UNM
0 - 1
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SCF
1 - 1
UNM
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
BEL
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 2
BRA
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 0
FEI
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 2
NAV
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAV
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |