União Madeira vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
3 - 0
UNM
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
MOR
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
UNM
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UNM
3 - 0
NAC
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
UNM
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
TON
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 0
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 3
EST
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |