União de Leiria vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
UDL
2 - 0
SOU
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ADM
0 - 2
UDL
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UDL
5 - 2
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
LUS
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
UDL
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ADN
2 - 1
ADM
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ADN
1 - 1
LUS
26%
28%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 0
ADN
59%
23%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ADN
1 - 2
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
ADN
60%
23%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |