Flamingo Santos vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamingo Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
WON
4 - 1
UNI
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
CEN
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TAF
2 - 1
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
GAB
48%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
EXT
1 - 3
UNI
44%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
CEN
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
GAB
1 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
TOW
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 2
BOT
55%
22%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
NOT
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |