União de Coimbra vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
13º
11º
65
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 0
COI
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
COI
2 - 1
PER
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
COI
6%
12%
82%
|
66 | 25 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 1
COI
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COI
2 - 2
BMA
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
OEL
3 - 2
TOR
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
OEL
1 - 0
MAR
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 3
OEL
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADM
0 - 0
OEL
7%
13%
80%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OEL
3 - 0
BEN
67%
20%
12%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |