União Barbarense vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
BAT
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
VOT
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |