Umia vs San Adrián analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UMI
3 - 1
PUE
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
UMI
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UMI
2 - 0
PON
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
UMI
41%
24%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UMI
2 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Adrián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ADR
1 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
22%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 4
ADR
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ADR
1 - 1
MIN
44%
24%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 3
ADR
26%
23%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ADR
2 - 0
CAM
33%
25%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |