Umia vs San Martín Villajuan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
UMI
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UMI
1 - 1
CAN
76%
15%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NIG
1 - 1
UMI
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UMI
1 - 1
CAM
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RAP
0 - 3
UMI
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Villajuan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
SES
41%
23%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAL
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 0
MAR
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAN
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NIG
1 - 1
MAR
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |