Umia vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
UMI
2 - 3
UDE
68%
18%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UMI
0 - 0
CAM
56%
22%
23%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
UMI
1 - 0
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 2
UMI
66%
20%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UMI
6 - 2
MOS
44%
24%
32%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAS
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GON
2 - 2
CAS
55%
21%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MIG
1 - 6
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
TOM
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TYD
1 - 1
CAS
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |