Umia vs Moraña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
UMI
6%
14%
80%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
UMI
1 - 1
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
UMI
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UMI
1 - 1
CUN
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 3
UMI
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
PUE
27%
22%
51%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ADR
2 - 1
MOR
55%
22%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
MOR
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
MOR
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |