Umia vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
CUL
3 - 3
UMI
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
UMI
3 - 2
VER
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PON
1 - 4
UMI
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
UMI
1 - 1
UDO
19%
23%
59%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
UMI
47%
24%
29%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
GRA
38%
26%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
PON
35%
25%
40%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
UMI
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |