Umeå vs Sollentuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
11º
10º
46
3º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
ORE
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SYL
1 - 2
UME
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UME
3 - 0
MOT
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
PIT
3 - 0
UME
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
HTF
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sollentuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 0
SOL
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 2
TAB
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
STO
4 - 1
SOL
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
3 - 1
BOD
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 1
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |