Umeå vs United IK Nordic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
11º
10º
62
2º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
STO
2 - 1
UME
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UME
2 - 0
BOD
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 0
UME
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
UME
4 - 3
STO
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 2
UME
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
United IK Nordic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ASS
3 - 0
JON
36%
23%
41%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
ASS
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ASS
4 - 2
STO
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BOD
1 - 1
ASS
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ASS
2 - 0
ORE
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |