Umeå FC Akademi vs IFK Luleå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
74.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
11º
9º
40
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå FC Akademi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
THO
8 - 0
UAK
91%
7%
3%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UAK
2 - 3
BOD
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
UAK
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
UAK
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
UAK
2 - 0
OST
9%
16%
75%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
IFK Luleå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 1
IFA
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 0
IFK
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IFK
3 - 1
KFF
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUC
4 - 0
IFK
11%
15%
74%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -4 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 3
GIF
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |