UM Escobedo vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 1
RAY
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 2
ESC
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 0
BAR
62%
21%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
TRO
3 - 1
ESC
63%
20%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 3
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
RAC
13%
22%
65%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 5
TRO
15%
23%
62%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAS
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
BEZ
33%
26%
42%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |