FIFA Club World Cup Group F Round 1

Ulsan HD FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis

Ulsan HD FC Mamelodi Sundowns
75 ELO 74
4.2% Tilt -10.6%
1105º General ELO ranking 1187º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.6%
Ulsan HD FC
23.9%
Draw
28.5%
Mamelodi Sundowns

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
Ulsan HD FC
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.5%
Win probability
Mamelodi Sundowns
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ulsan HD FC
-7%
+27%
Mamelodi Sundowns

ELO progression

Ulsan HD FC
Mamelodi Sundowns
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ulsan HD FC
Ulsan HD FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 May. 2025
JEO
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
3 - 1
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
46%
27%
27%
76 76 0 0
28 May. 2025
GWA
Gwangju FC
1 - 1
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
45%
28%
28%
76 76 0 0
24 May. 2025
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
3 - 2
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
44%
26%
31%
76 76 0 0
17 May. 2025
GAN
Gangwon FC
1 - 1
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
46%
27%
27%
76 76 0 0
14 May. 2025
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
3 - 0
Incheon United
INC
36%
25%
39%
76 81 5 0

Matches

Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2025
ASY
Pyramids
2 - 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
58%
22%
21%
74 76 2 0
24 May. 2025
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 - 1
Pyramids
ASY
42%
25%
33%
74 76 2 0
18 May. 2025
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 - 0
Magesi
MAG
51%
27%
22%
74 70 4 0
14 May. 2025
CHI
Chippa United
0 - 3
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
33%
29%
38%
74 69 5 0
11 May. 2025
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 - 0
Stellenbosch FC
SFC
46%
27%
27%
74 74 0 0