SSV Ulm vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 2
ULM
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ULM
2 - 2
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
KEH
0 - 0
ULM
14%
22%
65%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
ULM
3 - 0
STU
75%
15%
9%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ILL
1 - 1
ULM
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VFR
2 - 0
NEC
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 5
VFR
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
OFF
0 - 3
VFR
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VFR
1 - 1
BAH
28%
25%
46%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
VFR
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |