Regionalliga Souht-west Round 26

SSV Ulm vs VfR Aalen analysis

SSV Ulm VfR Aalen
56 ELO 43
-5.1% Tilt -2.4%
716º General ELO ranking 4188º
42º Country ELO ranking 188º
ELO win probability
70%
SSV Ulm
19.5%
Draw
10.5%
VfR Aalen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
SSV Ulm
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.5%
Win probability
VfR Aalen
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SSV Ulm
-4%
-6%
VfR Aalen

Points and table prediction

SSV Ulm
Their league position
VfR Aalen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
32
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SSV Ulm
72
72
100%
TSV Steinbach Haiger
71
71
100%
Hoffenheim II
69
69
100%
FC 08 Homburg
58
58
100%
FSV Frankfurt
57
57
100%
TSG Balingen
56
56
100%
Kickers Offenbach
55
55
100%
Stuttgart II
52
52
100%
Mainz 05 II
48
48
100%
Bahlinger SC
10º
46
46
10º
100%
VfR Aalen
15º
32
41
11º
100%
Barockstadt
11º
40
40
12º
100%
Astoria Walldorf
12º
34
34
13º
100%
Hessen Kassel
13º
33
33
14º
0%
Freiberg
14º
33
33
15º
0%
Wormatia Worms
16º
29
29
16º
100%
RW Koblenz
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Eintracht Trier
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
SSV Ulm
VfR Aalen
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SSV Ulm
VfR Aalen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SSV Ulm
SSV Ulm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
ULM
SSV Ulm
1 - 4
FSV Frankfurt
FSV
62%
22%
16%
58 48 10 0
18 Mar. 2023
KOB
RW Koblenz
0 - 1
SSV Ulm
ULM
12%
21%
67%
59 36 23 -1
11 Mar. 2023
ULM
SSV Ulm
1 - 0
Hoffenheim II
HOF
56%
24%
20%
59 52 7 0
05 Mar. 2023
WWO
Wormatia Worms
0 - 0
SSV Ulm
ULM
18%
23%
60%
59 41 18 0
18 Feb. 2023
BAH
Bahlinger SC
2 - 3
SSV Ulm
ULM
8%
16%
76%
58 36 22 +1

Matches

VfR Aalen
VfR Aalen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2023
VFR
VfR Aalen
0 - 0
Stuttgart II
STU
28%
25%
47%
42 48 6 0
24 Mar. 2023
AST
Astoria Walldorf
1 - 1
VfR Aalen
VFR
42%
25%
33%
44 41 3 -2
21 Mar. 2023
HES
Hessen Kassel
1 - 2
VfR Aalen
VFR
42%
25%
33%
43 41 2 +1
18 Mar. 2023
VFR
VfR Aalen
2 - 0
Kickers Offenbach
OFC
17%
23%
60%
41 57 16 +2
04 Mar. 2023
VFR
VfR Aalen
1 - 3
FC 08 Homburg
HOM
25%
25%
50%
43 51 8 -2