Ulm vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
AST
3 - 1
ULM
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
ULM
1 - 3
BAL
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FSV
0 - 2
ULM
35%
24%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 5
ULM
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ULM
4 - 0
KOB
76%
17%
8%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAI
1 - 3
GIE
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAY
0 - 3
MAI
44%
23%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MAI
0 - 2
SAA
10%
17%
74%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MAI
0 - 2
HOF
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
AST
0 - 0
MAI
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |