Ulm vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
OFC
3 - 0
ULM
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1987 |
ULM
4 - 0
AAA
32%
28%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
BAU
1 - 1
ULM
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
BAY
2 - 1
ULM
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
ULM
3 - 0
SAA
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
KÖL
0 - 4
ROT
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1987 |
BWB
1 - 0
KÖL
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1987 |
SUL
1 - 6
KÖL
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
KÖL
2 - 0
STP
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
SVS
2 - 2
KÖL
67%
19%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |