Ulm vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
ROT
3 - 4
ULM
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
F95
2 - 0
ULM
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
ULM
1 - 0
STP
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
BWB
3 - 2
ULM
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
ULM
2 - 2
OFC
41%
25%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
SCF
0 - 1
FCN
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
ARB
1 - 3
FCN
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
FCN
2 - 1
MSV
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
BUR
2 - 0
FCN
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
HAN
4 - 2
FCN
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |