Ulm vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1984 |
ULM
3 - 2
FCN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
ROT
3 - 4
ULM
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
F95
2 - 0
ULM
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
ULM
1 - 0
STP
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
BWB
3 - 2
ULM
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
AAA
3 - 0
WAT
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
SV9
1 - 2
AAA
17%
20%
62%
|
73 | 8 | 65 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
AAA
1 - 1
BUR
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
ROT
3 - 1
AAA
41%
27%
31%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
AAA
4 - 0
STP
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |