UCSA vs Druzhba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
1º
62
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
34.5% | 43.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
65.5% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCZ
0 - 2
UCS
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
UCS
3 - 0
MET
56%
22%
23%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RPH
1 - 1
UCS
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIV
5 - 1
UCS
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FED
1 - 1
UCS
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Druzhba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 1
CHA
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 2
FCD
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 1
FCL
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
NYV
2 - 1
FCD
67%
19%
13%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FCD
2 - 3
FNB
7%
14%
79%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |