Q. Europa League First Round Final
Újpest FC vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
FKN
3 - 1
UJP
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
UJP
0 - 1
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
UJP
2 - 1
DVS
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MEZ
0 - 1
UJP
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
PUS
2 - 2
UJP
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
FKN
3 - 1
UJP
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
FCK
1 - 2
FKN
30%
30%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
FKN
3 - 1
SEB
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
QAR
0 - 1
FKN
42%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 1
FKN
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |