Uganda vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
RWA
1 - 0
UGA
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1999 |
UGA
2 - 0
SOM
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
UGA
0 - 0
BDI
86%
11%
3%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1999 |
MWI
0 - 2
UGA
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1999 |
UGA
0 - 1
ZMB
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
LBY
2 - 0
TGO
62%
22%
15%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
LBY
2 - 0
GAB
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
MWI
1 - 2
LBY
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
ZWE
2 - 1
LBY
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
LBY
2 - 1
TGO
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |