Ciutadella CE vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciutadella CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 1
FRR
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FRR
1 - 0
SAM
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
SAM
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALA
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 1
MJG
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MER
2 - 1
ALA
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 3
MER
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MNC
0 - 2
MER
12%
20%
69%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MER
5 - 1
MNC
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MER
7 - 2
ATL
91%
7%
2%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | -2 |