Quart vs Bellcaire 2012 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+293%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CEF
3 - 0
QRT
52%
22%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SVI
3 - 1
QRT
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
QRT
2 - 2
EMP
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAG
0 - 2
QRT
50%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
QRT
2 - 1
TRL
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bellcaire 2012
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
PAL
38%
22%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UEL
1 - 2
BEL
68%
18%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
4 - 4
TOR
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 1
CEF
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EMP
1 - 1
BEL
36%
24%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |