Udinese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
UDI
2 - 0
CAG
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 0
UDI
32%
27%
42%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
UDI
3 - 0
LAZ
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 1
UDI
27%
26%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
UDI
1 - 0
SIE
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
LEC
1 - 1
REG
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ACM
5 - 2
LEC
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 4
SAM
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
LAZ
3 - 3
LEC
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
LEC
3 - 2
LIV
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |