Udinese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
UDI
1 - 0
REG
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
BOL
0 - 1
UDI
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 2
UDI
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
UDI
1 - 1
SIE
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
JUV
4 - 1
UDI
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 2
PAR
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
ROM
3 - 1
LEC
78%
14%
7%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LEC
0 - 0
SAM
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PRG
2 - 2
LEC
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LEC
2 - 1
EMP
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |