Serie A Round 5

Udinese vs Lecce analysis

Udinese Lecce
89 ELO 79
12% Tilt -1.1%
63º General ELO ranking 128º
13º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
74.6%
Udinese
15.5%
Draw
9.9%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
Udinese
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.9%
Win probability
Lecce
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Udinese
-1%
+3%
Lecce

ELO progression

Udinese
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Udinese
Udinese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2000
JUV
Juventus
1 - 2
Udinese
UDI
54%
24%
22%
89 91 2 0
24 Oct. 2000
UDI
Udinese
1 - 0
PAOK
PAO
70%
18%
12%
89 82 7 0
21 Oct. 2000
UDI
Udinese
3 - 0
Inter
INT
54%
23%
24%
88 89 1 +1
15 Oct. 2000
VER
Hellas Verona
1 - 1
Udinese
UDI
32%
27%
42%
89 80 9 -1
01 Oct. 2000
UDI
Udinese
4 - 2
Brescia
BRE
74%
16%
10%
88 79 9 +1

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2000
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Napoli
NAP
51%
25%
24%
79 76 3 0
22 Oct. 2000
REG
Reggina
0 - 1
Lecce
LEC
38%
28%
34%
79 79 0 0
15 Oct. 2000
LEC
Lecce
0 - 4
Roma
ROM
25%
26%
49%
79 89 10 0
01 Oct. 2000
PRG
Perugia
1 - 1
Lecce
LEC
53%
24%
24%
79 81 2 0
24 Sep. 2000
LEC
Lecce
1 - 3
Inter
INT
25%
27%
48%
79 89 10 0