UDI '19 vs SV Orion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
7º
4º
38
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 58 |
2º
|
72.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 47 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
11º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
95.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 21 |
15º
|
64% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 21 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
78.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UDI '19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DON
1 - 0
UDI
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UDI
3 - 1
RKV
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HVC
1 - 1
UDI
37%
23%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
UDI
1 - 1
ACH
26%
24%
51%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 4
UDI
68%
16%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
SV Orion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 1
WIT
27%
21%
53%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 2
ORI
66%
18%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 1
JUL
22%
19%
59%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GOE
5 - 1
ORI
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 2
EVV
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |