Sax vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
UDF
50%
22%
29%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 0
GUS
18%
19%
64%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
UDF
39%
22%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UDF
2 - 2
RAF
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ELD
1 - 1
UDF
65%
17%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PET
2 - 0
ALG
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PIN
0 - 3
PET
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PET
2 - 2
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 2
PET
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
ALG
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |