Sax vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
UDF
48%
23%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
UDF
0 - 2
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 3
UDF
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UDF
0 - 3
UDC
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
UDF
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
PET
8 - 1
VIL
90%
8%
2%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
AYO
0 - 1
PET
6%
15%
80%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PET
6 - 1
REA
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
PET
1 - 2
FON
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MOI
1 - 1
PET
19%
23%
59%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |