Sax vs UD La Coca Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+191%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SPD
1 - 3
UDF
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 0
ELD
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 1
UDF
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 1
MON
27%
22%
52%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
UDF
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD La Coca Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 2
PRV
38%
22%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 4
MON
11%
15%
75%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SPD
3 - 3
UDL
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
UDL
0 - 1
ELD
11%
14%
75%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RAF
3 - 0
UDL
63%
18%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |