Copa del Rey . 1/64
Global 3-2
UDA Gramanet vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UDA Gramanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
HOS
1 - 1
GRA
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
HER
0 - 1
GRA
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
GIM
3 - 1
GRA
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
GRA
2 - 0
GIM
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2000 |
GRA
2 - 2
RJA
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
HER
0 - 3
RCD
59%
23%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
HER
0 - 1
GRA
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
HER
1 - 1
ULP
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
ULP
1 - 1
HER
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
HER
1 - 3
XER
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |