Vecindario vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
CDZ
3 - 2
VEC
30%
28%
43%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
VEC
1 - 1
LPA
22%
28%
50%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
SDT
1 - 2
VEC
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
VEC
2 - 3
UDO
28%
29%
43%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
COR
1 - 0
VEC
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
UDI
3 - 1
ATL
46%
27%
28%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
CDT
2 - 1
UDI
54%
24%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
UDI
2 - 1
RSI
23%
30%
47%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
VTZ
1 - 0
UDI
53%
24%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
UDI
1 - 1
REA
32%
28%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |