U.D.C. Sur vs Arces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D.C. Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BEL
3 - 3
UDS
65%
18%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
UDS
3 - 3
VIL
69%
17%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
UDS
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
UDS
3 - 3
MIG
37%
22%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BOE
2 - 0
UDS
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 4
AGU
17%
18%
65%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
RUE
3 - 0
ARC
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 0
PED
11%
15%
74%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MED
3 - 2
ARC
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 1
CIS
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |