Somozas B vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
26%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PON
1 - 2
SOM
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SOM
0 - 2
CEB
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EST
0 - 3
SOM
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SOM
1 - 1
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CCR
2 - 1
SOM
64%
19%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
NUM
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CCR
3 - 0
NUM
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 4
CLU
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 2
NUM
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NUM
0 - 2
GAL
36%
23%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |