San Lorenzo vs Aravaca B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
49.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 0
SLO
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 2
ACM
23%
20%
58%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ATC
3 - 3
SLO
75%
14%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
TRC
5 - 2
SLO
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SLO
3 - 2
VPB
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aravaca B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARB
5 - 2
RTM
27%
22%
52%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PDM
2 - 2
ARB
75%
15%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARB
6 - 1
TRC
35%
23%
42%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BPI
4 - 4
ARB
53%
22%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 0
CEL
19%
20%
61%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |