UD Plus Ultra vs Metelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
49.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+147%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDZ
6 - 0
PUL
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
PUL
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PUL
1 - 1
BAR
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
2 - 1
PUL
40%
21%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PUL
2 - 1
PVA
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Metelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MET
3 - 0
ALV
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
TRU
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALV
3 - 2
MET
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
CAT
16%
18%
67%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAD
2 - 4
MET
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |