UD Plus Ultra vs Don Álvaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+147%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TRU
2 - 2
PUL
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PUL
1 - 1
ALA
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
PUL
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PUL
1 - 1
CDZ
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PUL
6 - 2
MAD
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Don Álvaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TRU
3 - 0
ALV
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALV
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 1
MET
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ALV
0 - 0
CDZ
32%
21%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MAD
3 - 1
ALV
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -2 |