UD Pavía vs Berja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LNO
1 - 4
PAV
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAV
3 - 1
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NIJ
3 - 3
PAV
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAA
3 - 1
PAV
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PAV
2 - 0
ADR
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Berja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BER
1 - 2
HUE
18%
19%
64%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BER
2 - 1
ATM
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BER
3 - 2
ATF
20%
19%
61%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
BER
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BER
1 - 4
CDV
11%
18%
72%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |