UD Pastoricense vs Celta Barreiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
79.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+130%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pastoricense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
CDC
5 - 1
PAS
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
PAS
2 - 0
XOV
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
TAB
4 - 1
PAS
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
PAS
0 - 0
MEI
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MON
3 - 1
PAS
74%
16%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Barreiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
IBE
3 - 1
CEL
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 0
ALF
75%
15%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SCI
3 - 3
CEL
12%
16%
71%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
COS
1 - 5
CEL
4%
10%
86%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 0
CAN
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |