UD Oliveirense vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
18º
17º
3
4º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
3 | 65 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 62 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 60 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 54 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 54 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 52 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 47 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 45 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 45 |
9º
|
3.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 45 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 44 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 41 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 39 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 38 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 36 |
17º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 32 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
35% | 48.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 1
FAR
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 1
OLI
20%
21%
59%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ACA
3 - 2
OLI
30%
23%
46%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
OLI
58%
21%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FEL
2 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
TOR
0 - 1
SCP
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 1
SCP
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
EST
2 - 3
SCP
81%
14%
6%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 0
AMA
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 2
SCP
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |