Mutilvera vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
IZA
1 - 1
UDM
42%
28%
30%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HUA
3 - 3
UDM
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
UDM
1 - 0
OBE
38%
29%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
UDM
73%
18%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 0
UDM
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LOU
2 - 0
MUR
52%
25%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LAG
0 - 1
LOU
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LOU
2 - 1
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
RIV
1 - 1
LOU
46%
25%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
LOU
2 - 1
TUD
37%
28%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |