Mutilvera vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ALF
2 - 0
UDM
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
UDM
0 - 2
REC
30%
26%
44%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
SMC
1 - 0
UDM
40%
26%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
UDM
1 - 0
ALB
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
IZA
1 - 0
UDM
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ALU
3 - 0
HAR
36%
28%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
OBE
0 - 0
ALU
66%
21%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
ALU
1 - 2
CDB
53%
26%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CDI
3 - 2
ALU
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ALU
0 - 0
ALF
15%
24%
61%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |